Nº 18 December 2020

ISSN: 2173-8254

Disponibilidad futura de los recursos hídricos frente a escenarios de cambio climático

Institution: CEPAL
This report concerns a consultancy commissioned by ECLAC to the author, in order to assess the potential impact of global climate change on the future availability of water resources in Chile and thus contribute to the development of the study "The Economics of Climate Change in Chile "(ECLAC, 2009 and 2012). This document shows the steps of the methodology: the calibrations obtained in hydrological models, the generation of a reference baseline and projected future evolution of flow under the SRES climate scenarios A2 and B20. The results allow us to quantify the future impact of a change in global climatic conditions on the availability of water for hydroelectric generation in Central Chile based on those of the Maule river basins Alto and Laja.